Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 4.557622e-05 0.000053 0.000061 0.000071 0.000081 0.000092 0.000104
2025-01-19 3.385344e-05 0.000043 0.000054 0.000067 0.000083 0.000100 0.000120
2025-01-26 2.673565e-05 0.000037 0.000050 0.000065 0.000085 0.000107 0.000134
2025-02-02 2.342435e-05 0.000035 0.000049 0.000068 0.000091 0.000119 0.000154
2025-02-09 1.994010e-05 0.000032 0.000047 0.000067 0.000094 0.000127 0.000169
2025-02-16 1.874005e-05 0.000031 0.000048 0.000072 0.000102 0.000141 0.000191
2025-02-23 1.627123e-05 0.000029 0.000046 0.000071 0.000105 0.000148 0.000205
2025-03-02 1.319024e-05 0.000025 0.000042 0.000068 0.000103 0.000149 0.000211
2025-03-09 1.100925e-05 0.000022 0.000040 0.000066 0.000103 0.000152 0.000220
2025-03-16 9.303347e-06 0.000020 0.000037 0.000064 0.000103 0.000156 0.000229
2025-03-23 8.022468e-06 0.000019 0.000036 0.000064 0.000105 0.000161 0.000240
2025-03-30 6.834119e-06 0.000017 0.000034 0.000063 0.000105 0.000165 0.000249
2025-04-06 5.381361e-06 0.000015 0.000032 0.000060 0.000105 0.000168 0.000259
2025-04-13 4.073013e-06 0.000013 0.000029 0.000058 0.000104 0.000170 0.000267
2025-04-20 3.162100e-06 0.000011 0.000027 0.000056 0.000103 0.000173 0.000278
2025-04-27 2.817735e-06 0.000011 0.000027 0.000058 0.000109 0.000185 0.000300
2025-05-04 2.319217e-06 0.000010 0.000026 0.000058 0.000112 0.000192 0.000316
2025-05-11 2.230565e-06 0.000010 0.000027 0.000061 0.000120 0.000209 0.000346
2025-05-18 1.837403e-06 0.000009 0.000026 0.000061 0.000122 0.000216 0.000362
2025-05-25 1.316809e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000058 0.000120 0.000216 0.000367
2025-06-01 9.787224e-07 0.000007 0.000022 0.000056 0.000119 0.000218 0.000376
2025-06-08 7.332186e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000055 0.000119 0.000222 0.000386
2025-06-15 5.634725e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000054 0.000120 0.000227 0.000400